Energy Case Studies
Various case studies on Energy Conflicts
1- Energy supply, demand and security
2- Impacts of energy security
3- Energy security and the future
- Created by: Karina de-Bourne
- Created on: 15-04-12 17:31
Gazprom
- Gazprom have control of 92% of Russia's gas production + is state owned
- Dmitry Medvedev (current president) aims for Russia to become a world leader in the energy sector
- Energy is considered to be Russia's economic/political weapon; Russia refers to it as an "instrument of foreign policy"
- Energy Secure Nation
- Declining in usage, however increasing in exports
- If a country were to fall out with the Russian Gvnt. this could result in their gas being cut off
- This would be the same if those supplied fell out with Gazprom
--> Europe is supplied this way; everyone could potentially be cut off if one country came into conflict w/ Russia; Europe would then have no supply
--> Slovakia is dependant upon this supply, however have an unstable gvnt meaning they are vulnerable at losing it
--> Ukranian supplies were cut off in 2008; Ukraine changed to a pro-West gvnt as opposed to pro-Russian = higher costs ($230/1000 cubic metre)
--> Belarus are on good terms with Russia/Gazprom = cheaper prices ($46/1000)
--> There can be indirect and direct affects all over Europe
Gazprom Continued
- East Siberia-Pacific Pipeline
--> Japan + China are keen to have access to this supply; their resources are limited, but demand is growing
--> good geographical location + have funds to afford
--> originally, this pipeline instalment would have disrupted the home of the home of remaining Amur Leopards but was changed due to logistical, safety + environmental objections
--> Russian will have a new pipeline (may possibly supply N.America as well)
--> Russian however do see China as an economic threat due to their rapid economy growth (10% per annum)
ANWR - Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
Alaska - protected area w/ oil reserves (Prudhoe Bay oilfield nearly exhausted)
-Chevron Texaco - lobbies all energy issues inc. ANWR development
- For (exploit) - 71% Alaskans + 58% Americans
- Bush - would keep US economy growing,
-would make US less dependant on imports
Republican - from Texas; owed money to oil companies for presidential campaigns/promotion - Palin - only 2000 acres out of 20,000 square miles of land
Republican - Alaskans - provide jobs for locals + Americans
--> allows Alaska to develop energy security
- doesn't affect Caribou - $50billion to US economy
- 730,000 jobs --> multiplier effect
- Pipelines built high to avoid Caribou
ANWR - Continued
- Against (preserve)
- Obama - would irreversibly damage protected area without creating sufficient oil supplies
--> negligible economic impact
Democrat - Greatly affects biodiversity - US Fish + Wildlife Service (biased)
- Polar Bear threat --> invasion on their land
- Locals affected - Inupiat of Kaktovik + Gurch'in
- 500 oil spills
- Decrease of 2cents per petrol gallon
- "Oil Lobby"
Niger Delta
Timeline
- 1957 - petrol discovered in Ogoniland
- 1960 - Nigeria becomes independent
- Shell + Chevron extract oil - 1980 --> oil generates 25% of GDP
(does not filter to locals) - 2008 - Oil = 60% of GDP
- Becomes Middle Income Country
From 1960 until present: 10m barrels of oil spilt; this does not make news in comparison to the Gulf Coast spill
--> oil seeped out due to no recognition/cleaning ever
during 50 years
--> no fish; oil covers river bed
Niger Delta Continued
What?
- profit led extraction of oil from Delta for 50+ years --> leaking
Impacts?
Social - locals lost main source of food + income through loss of fish due to crude oil in rivers
- not benefiting from any money made + have seen no improvements
Political - nothing done due to poor connections; companies, (Shell), supply EU with oil
--> do not want to lose out, hence also do nothing
Environmental - all surroundings have been polluted
--> loss of habitat + wildlife - most areas covered in crude oil
Niger Delta Players
- Shell (TNC)
- Nigerian Gvnt (member of OPEC)
- Researchers (Marine Biologists)
- Organisations (EU, UN etc)
- Local people, (Farmers, Fishermen etc)
- Environmental Pressure Groups, (FOE)
Turning Canada Tar Sands Into Oil
What?
- (In 2000-5, $86b+ spent on frontier hydrocarbons - difficult)
- Oil reserves in tar sand forms could be 180b. barrels of oil
- Commercial production began in 1967; only recently due to rising oil proces that Exxon Mobil, Shell + BP are interested
- Alberta's tar sands produced 1million barrels/day in 2003
--> expected 3.5m by 2011
--> by 2030 plan to produce 5m --> more than Nigeria + Venezuela (OPEC) - Mined through opencast mining/pumped out
Canada Tar Sands - Players
Players?
- Mine workers
- Oil companies (Exxon Mobil, Shell, BP)
- Canadian Association of Petrol Producers - CAPP
- Government
- Alberta Energy Research Institute - AERI
- Environmentalists
Costs + Benefits
Benefits
- Provide alternative source of oil --> by 2030 could produce 16% of N.American demand
- Mining companies have to reclaim any disturbed land (lowers environmental damage)
- Oil = 20% of Canadian exports - 2007 = crucial for economy
Costs
- Expensive - $15/barrel compared to $2 for conventional oil
- Energy Intensive, large source of ghgs (AERI), up to 5 barrels of water needed per barrel of oil
- Huge quantities of waste sand + environmental destruction
- Removal of trees, shrubs + soil - 470km² of forest removed
- Lakes of toxic waste cover 130km²
- Excessive Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) levels --> acid rain --> erosion
- Moose - 33 times same level of arsenic in habitat
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