Negotiations part 2
- Created by: autumnitalia_
- Created on: 20-05-19 21:49
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- Negotiations (2)
- risks of negotiating with terrorists (Byman 2006)
- 1. Recognition arguably rewards the use of terrorism - other groups might take up terrorism or even inc their violence
- 3. Negotiating may be more difficult post 9/11 - public might not accept
- 4. Most talks end in failure - credibility of govt and members are on the line
- 5. Progress may be slow - terrorist groups may not show signs of windling down its behaviour
- 6. ******** members may still remain - enough to continue the violence
- 7. spoilers may emerge
- 9. political process may transform the political scene and alter ops as it says terrorism works - may radicalise peaceful groups
- 8. ceasefire may be used as a ruse - groups have used it to rearm in the past and regroup
- 10. risk of talking to terrorist groups that are active against an ally - anger op govt - harm another state
- 2. diminishing the stigma of being known as a terrorist group - US Foreign Terrorist Organisation was set up to shame
- negations dont always yield a clear resolution or cessation it usually continues during talks (Cronin, 2009)
- success of negotiations in history
- Northern Ireland
- 1972 - first attemptat secret talks
- 1993 - Secret talks were revealed
- 1994 - First cease fire and talks btw Sinn F & B govt
- 1993 - Secret talks were revealed
- 1972 - first attemptat secret talks
- Northern Ireland
- competingexplanations for peace in NI.
- Stalemate (Zartmann,2003)
- PIRA or UK could not defeat the other so peace was sought
- Situation not so ripe in 1990s
- Interplay (Tonge, Shirlowand McAuley, 2011
- interplay f ideological, political, economic and structural as well as military factors
- interviews with soldiers suggest the absence of the stale mate narrative
- Stalemate (Zartmann,2003)
- unsuccessful negotiations
- more than classic terrorist campaign in Sri Lanka
- Sri Lankan maj are Buddhist but Tamils were hindu
- Tamils wanted devolution= not granted
- Tamil Tigers formed 1972 - secular seperatist group
- 70,000 deaths
- greatest users of suicide attacks
- Tamil Tigers formed 1972 - secular seperatist group
- unsuccessful negotiations cos splits in parties over talks, damaging support fir Tamils and causing problems in govt
- Tamils wanted devolution= not granted
- Sri Lankan maj are Buddhist but Tamils were hindu
- more than classic terrorist campaign in Sri Lanka
- risks of negotiating with terrorists (Byman 2006)
- 1998 - Good Friday agreement- devolved assembly at Stormont and role for rep of Ireland
- 1998-2005 - continuing talks until it ended its armed campaign and agreed to decommission
- 1997 - New PIRA ceasefire and talks resume
- 1996 - PIRA ends ceasefire and bombs canary wharf
- 1994 - First cease fire and talks btw Sinn F & B govt
- 1996 - PIRA ends ceasefire and bombs canary wharf
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