Demographic Transition Model
- Created by: darcie_cl
- Created on: 26-02-14 23:02
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- Demographic transition model (DTM)
- Stage 1
- High fluctuating birth and death rate - unstable
- Low total population
- A few remote groups
- Many children needed for farming, many die at a young age, no family planning
- Disease, famine, poor medical knowledge
- Stage 2
- High fluctuating birth rate, death rate rapidly decreases
- Increasing total population
- Many children needed for farming, many die at a young age, no family planning
- Improvements in medical care, water supply and sanitation
- Egypt, Kenya, India
- Stage 3
- Birth rate and death rate falls
- Total population continues to increase
- Brazil
- Improved medical care and diet. Fewer children needed
- Improvements in medical care, water supply and sanitation
- Stage 4
- Low birth and death rate
- Increasing total population
- USA, Japan, UK
- Family planning, good health, improving status of women, later marriages
- Good health care, reliable food supply
- Stage 5
- Total population decrease
- Lower birth rate than death rate
- Germany
- Family planning, good health, improving status of women, later marriages
- Good health care, reliable food supply
- Pros and cons
- Simple to understand
- Good to help future predictions
- Many countries have not moved through each stage skip stages (one child policy)
- Does not consider migration
- Can be used to estimate population structure
- Irons out major fluctuations e.g. natural disasters
- Stage 1
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