Economy 1920-1945 - Causes of WSC

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  • Created by: CaitlinB
  • Created on: 07-01-20 19:19

The Banking System

  • = outdated
  • 12 regulatory reserve banks headed by FRB
    • 7 members appointed by president
    • allowed banks to self-regulate without gov. interference
  • problems:
    • reserve banks acted in interest of bankers vs. nation
    • local banks not part of centralised system
    • FRB wanted to keep market buoyant
      • --> favoured low interest rates - many believed encouraged bull market
      • encouraged easy credit
      • 1927 lowered interest rates 4% -> 3.5%
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Over-speculation on the Stock Market

  • more buying shares --> ↑ prices --> ↑ bull market
  • amount of trading grew (esp. after Hoover elected 1928)
  • 1928 shares not ↑ as much as previous years
    • companies not selling as much --> ↓ profits
    • less willing to buy their shares --> drop in confidence
    • = warning
  • share prices ↑ again --> greed --> speculation recurred
  • lack of SM regulation by gov. / an agency --> more and more speculation
  • Republican presidents stuck to laissez-faire beliefs successively
  • SM value of stocks:
    • 1925 = $27b
    • Oct. 1929 = $87b
  • summer 1929 - 20 million shareholders in US - prices still ↑
  • big drop as too high to begin with
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Easy Credit

  • easier to buy goods without cash to pay on the spot
  • hire purchase - firms arranged for customers to pay in instalments
    • including buying shares on credit = on the margin
  • FRB encouraged by easy credit policies
  • worked when prices were rising
  • when price rise slowed / decreased --> problems
  • 75% of purchase price of shares = borrowed --> artificially high prices
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Loss of Confidence

  • market structure largely maintained by confidence in it
  • 1929 some experts selling shares heavily
  • autumn 1929 prices fell further --> small investors panicked
    • saw drop in prices --> rush to sell shares
    • --> complete collapse of prices
    • --> thousands of investors lost millions of prices
  • historians - rumours as reasons for drop in confidence:
    • FRB about to tighten credit facilities by making it more difficult to borrow
    • many who had made fortunes on SM e.g. Bernard Baruch were selling their stock
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Role of the Government

  • inadequate regulation --> easier to borrow
  • pro-business laissez-faire policies (Harding Coolidge Mellon)
  • gold standard
    • GBP sterling = lead currency in international finance
    • 1925 Benjamin Strong (head of US FRB) backed GB decision to return to gold standard
    • Strong kept US interest rates low to support sterling
    • 1927 interest rates lowered again --> increased speculation
  • August 1929 1% increase in interest rates = too little too late
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