Demography: Births
- Created by: sandramelnyk
- Created on: 22-03-20 14:08
The total fertility rate
Factors determining birth rate:
- Proportion of women at childbearing age
- How fertile they are
Total fertility rate (TFR) = average number of children women will having during their fertile years
UK's TFR has risen in recent years but still lower than in the past - all time low of 1.63 in 2001 and rose to 1.83 by 2014 whereas it was 2.95 in 1964
These changes in fertility & birth rates reflect the fact that:
- More women remaining childless than in the past
- Women are postponing having children - older women may be less fertile so end up producing less children
Changes in women's position
Reason for decline in birth rate:
- Legal equality w/ men
- Increased educational opportunities
- More women in paid employment
- Changes in attitudes
- Easier access to divorce
- Access to abortion & reliable contraception = more control over fertility
Sarah Harper (2012) = Education is most important reason = led to changed mind-set = fewer children
Decline in the infant mortality rate
IMR = number of infants who die before 1st birthday, per thousands babies born alive, per year
Harper = fall in IMR = fall in birth rate = parents more likely to replace infant who dies but if infants survive, parents will have fewer of them
1900 = IMR for UK was 154 (15% babies died within 1st year)
Reasons why IMR began to fall in 1st half of 20th century:
- Improved housing & sanitation e.g. flush toilets & clean drinking water = reduced infectious disease
- Better nutrition
- Better knowledge
- Improved services for mothers & children e.g. postnatal clinics
Children are now an economic liability
- Laws banned child labour, introduced compulsory schooling and raised school leaving age = children remain economically dependent on parents for longer
- Changing norms of children's expectations from parents in material terms = cost of bringing up children has risen
As a result of these financial pressures, parents now feel less able/willing than in the past to have a large family
Child centredness
Child centredness of family & wider society = childhood now socially constructed as a uniquely important period in their life
This has encouraged a shift from 'quantity' to 'quality' - parents now have less children & lavish more attention and resources on them
Future trends in birth rates
Although birth rates, fertility rates, and family sizes have fallen over last century, there has been a slight increase in births since 2001
1 reason for this = increase of immigration - mothers from outside UK tend to have higher fertility rate. Their babies accounted for 25% of all births in 2011
Up to 2041, its expected that the annual number of births will be fairly constant at around 800,000 per year
Effects of changes in fertility on the family
Smaller families = women more likely to go to work so creates a dual earner couple
However.. some better off couples may be able to have larger families and still afford childcare that lets them both work full-time
Effects of changes in fertility on the dependency
Dependency ratio = relationship between size of working population and non working population
Earnings, savings and taxes of working population must support dependent population (i.e. children) - fall in number of children reduces 'burden of dependency' on working population
In long term, less babies being born will mean less young adults and a smaller working popuation = burden of dependency may begin to increase again
Vanishing children = childhood may become lonelier
Effects of changes in fertility on public services
Less schools, maternity and child health services needed
Ageing population = more old people relative to young people
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