Lecture 2 - Earth's Energy Budget and the Greenhouse Effect (2)

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  • Created on: 03-05-21 14:34
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  • Lecture 2 - Earth's Energy Budget and the Greenhouse Effect
    • Greenhouse Effect (2)
      • Presence of one I.R. absorbing layer
        • Back radiation doubles amount of energy received at the surface (increasing equilibrium surface temperature by about 20%)
      • Multiple I.R. absorbing layers
        • Something that a lot of people haven't recognised and have used as an argument against global warming
      • Not the same as global warming
        • Greenhouse effect increases surface temperature by 33K, necessary to support life on Earth
        • Global warming is the additional increase and strengthening of the greenhouse effect over the last 100 years, likely due to anthropogenic emissions
      • Anthropogenic contribution
        • CO2 is important (54%) but not the only anthropogenic GHG
        • CH4 is a better absorber than CO2 (18% but already has large effect)
    • Radiative forcing
      • Artificial imbalance between outgoing and incoming radiation
        • +ve = warming
        • -ve = cooling
      • Calculated from externally imposed perturbation in Earth's energy budget e.g. adding CO2
        • No feedbacks included, simply increases the amount of GHG so reducing amount of radiation that can escape to space
      • Neglect back radiation
      • Leave surface temperature constant at Ts=288K
      • Anthropogenic greenhouse forcing (approx 3.3W/m2) is small compared to atmospheric greenhouse forcing (approx 150W/m2)
        • However, this has led to warming by 1 degree Celsius
        • Aerosols cool the atmosphere (total anthropogenic forcing approx 2.3W/m2)
          • However, this is larger than the 0.5W/m2 in 1950
    • Feedback
      • Mechanism that amplifies (positive) or weakens (negative) a signal in the climate system
      • Examples:
        • Ice albedo effect (+ve) - warmer climate = less snow and ice coverage = less reflection of solar radiation and enhanced warming
        • Thermostat effect (-ve) - warmer climate = more evaporation = more water vapour = more clouds = more reflection of solar radiation = cooling
          • However, it has been proven that clouds don't provide -ve feedback, they provide +ve
        • Strongest -ve feedback is Stefan Boltzmann Law - small increase in warming and temp. = strong increase in radiation emitted
      • Temperature response - change in temp after reaching new equilibrium, including all feedbacks after applying forcing
        • Note that CO2 emissions and CO2 concentration aren't the same - concentration should be considered
    • Clouds
      • Thermal - cools surface by 17W/m2
        • Because most sunlight is absorbed at the surface, so the surface becomes warmer than the atmosphere
          • Heat conduction occurs at the surface, turbulence in lower atmosphere picks heat up and transports it further into atmosphere
            • Evapotranspiration occurs over water and land
              • Energy needed for this creates latent heat
      • Reflect 20% of incoming solar radiation, emit 26% of outgoing terrestrial radiation
      • Radiative forcing of -20W/m2
      • Redistribute energy within climate system due to latent heat transport
      • Cloud feedbacks are the largest uncertainty in global warming estimates
      • Cirrus - warming (greenhouse > albedo)
      • Cumulus - neutral (greenhouse = albedo)
      • Stratus - cooling (albedo > greenhouse)

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