Introduction to Quantitative Methods

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  • Quantitative methods
    • Probability
      • Venn diagrams
        • Not A: P(A) + P(Not A) = 1
        • Not (A OR B): not mutually exclusive events P(A OR B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A AND B)
        • Not (A OR B): mutually exclusive events P(A OR B) = P(A) + P(B)
      • Concepts
        • Independent
          • When P(A)=P(A|B) events A and B are independent
        • Mutually exclusive
          • No outcomes should overlap
        • Dependent
          • When P(A) doesn't equal P(A|B)
      • Calculating
        • Conditional probabilities
          • P(A|B) the probability of Event A given that Event B is known to have occurred
          • P(A AND B)/ P(B)
        • Joint probabilities
          • Dependent
          • Do the P(A) then the P(B|A)
            • P(A AND B) = P(A) P(B|A) (multiply the values
        • Expected value
          • Number of trials multiplied by the probability of success
        • Variance
          • Number of trials multiplied by the probability of success and failure
        • Combinations
        • Binominal probabilities
        • Probabilities using normal distribution
        • Probability
          • Number of outcomes in which even occurs/total number of outcomes
      • Decision trees
        • Any event is composed of one or more of the terminal node outcomes
      • Random variables
        • Continuous
          • Can take any value within a range
        • Discrete
      • Introduction to binominal distribution and appropriate notation
        • The outcome of each trial is independent
        • n identical 'trials'
        • Each trial has the same probability of success
        • n is the number of objects and r is how many you chose
        • ! means factorial
        • Shift divide function
          • First number is the letters you want to choose
          • Second number is all of the letters
          • It tells us the number of contributions
      • Choosing an appropriate distribution to model random variables
        • Binominal
          • When n becomes large, the binominal probabilities can be approximated by the normal distribution with the same mean n, p and variance  [np(1-p)]
        • Normal
          • This distribution is characterised as being bell-shaped and symmetric
          • Notation: random variable x has a normal distribution with a mean of y and variance z
            • N(4,2) normal distribution with mean 4 and variance 2
      • Revise Chebychev's theorem
        • “A proportion of at least  1-1/k^2 of a probability distribution lie within k standard deviations of the mean, regardless of the distribution of the data.”
      • Standardising non-standard distributions
        • For normal random variables, the number of s.d's away from the mean (z-score) does have a standard normal distribution
          • To calculate the z-score for any normally distributed variable x-Mu/random variance
            • Mu represents the population mean
            • Where Z has a N(0,1) distribution
        • Transform > compute variable
          • Select "CDF & Noncentral CDF" or "Inverse DF" then Cdf.normal or Idf.Normal
      • Using probability density functions to represent probabilities associated with continuous random variables
    • Statistical inference
      • Sampling methods
      • The Central Limit Theorem
        • The total (or mean) of a large number of independent random variables with the same probability distribution has a normal distribution
      • Calculating and interpreting a confidence interval
      • Statistical testing
        • Introduction
        • The four-step process
      • Writing null and alternative hypotheses
      • Finding and interpreting p-values
      • One sample t-tests
        • Theory and execution in SPSS
          • Interpretation and communication of results
            • Independent sample t-tests
      • Independent sample t-tests
      • Levene's test
        • Interpretation and communication of results
        • Related samples
          • Theory and execution in SPSS

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