How stable and predictable are general elections?
- Created by: AreejAmjad
- Created on: 13-11-21 19:41
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PREDICTABLE?
- was it predictable in 2019 and in 2017?
- did people predict the right - opinion polls
- 2019 (opinion polls) - Conservative, but underestimated the majority
- 2017 wasn't predictable. Thought Theresa May would get a large majority, but she lost her 12 seat majority (hung majority). Instead Corbyn did better.
- 2015 predicted to be hung (no majority)
- 2010 opinion polls were correct
- the exit polls are very accurate
- 2001, 2005, 2007 predicted a big…
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