Aldrich (1993) - Rational choice theory views voting as low cost, low benefit, so the choice to vote is marginal. Safe seats - higher cost, lower benefit.
Powell (1986) analysed American turnout comparatively and found that ‘nationally competitive districts’ caused higher turnout than single-member districts.
2017 General Election - no relationship between turnout and ‘seat safeness’. 418 of 650 constituencies were held by same party in last 3 elections - only slightly lower than the rest of constituencies that had changed parties at least once in the same period.
Points to a greater difference between proportional representation systems and majoritarian (single-member) systems. Countries with PR tend to have higher turnout e.g. Belgium, Denmark, Sweden.
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