SWING STATES
- Created by: SofiaClarkson
- Created on: 08-06-18 10:55
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- SWING STATES
- 'Super Swingy'
- Phenomenon identified by Larry Sabato
- States where Republican and Democrats carried the state in 2/4 elections since 2000
- Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Florida, Virginia and New Hampshire
- 2012, Obama and Romney collectively visited Ohio 35 times and Virginia 29 times from May to November
- Ohio is a swing state because it is diverse, both rural and metropolitan
- Trump won swingy states AND Democrat-leaning states ANOMOLY
- 2016 only 109,000 votes decided the entire election
- 2000, 529 votes in Florida won the whole election
- 2016 only 109,000 votes decided the entire election
- Phenomenon identified by Larry Sabato
- Differing degrees of safety
- Link to UK marginal and safe seats
- Issues affecting certain swing states tend to become a part of the national campaign
- e.g. Iowa and ethanol issues
- Clinton lost in states with small communities but won megacities e.g. New York
- Importance to winning an election?
- Decreased but still significant, Obama won Ohio in 2012 after visiting 35 times
- Doesn't assure victory
- Fairness of the Electoral College depends on the swing states
- Decreasing number of Swing States [4 in 2012] but bigger individual importance
- Unfair? Democrat voter in Pennsylvania matters more than a Democrat voter in Texas
- 'Super Swingy'
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