Superpower futures
- Created by: Anoush
- Created on: 06-01-16 13:56
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- Superpower futures
- By 2050, the BRIC's will be consuming huge amounts of raw materials
- BRIC's are making a dent in USA's hegemony.
- The USA has 170 TNC's out of the 500 in 2005.
- China has 15 TNC's out of 500 in 2005.
- In 2002, car sales in China were 3+ m. By 2009, ssales exploded to 11m, beating 10m in the US.
- Two of the 'Detroit Three' went bankrupt in 2009.
- Obama's administration would cut American emissions by 26-28% by 2050/ just under 3bn tonnes of carbon a year.
- The USA has 170 TNC's out of the 500 in 2005.
- BRIC's are making a dent in USA's hegemony.
- Impacts of emerging powers
- India
- Given India's size and pop. (1.3bn) its Co2 emisssions are relatively tiny.
- At 1.6 tonnes of carbon per person per year, they're roughly the same as China's per-head emissions in 1980.
- India's prime minister, Narendra Modi, wants to emulate China's sizzling growth
- He had set India at target of expanding GDP by 8% a year.
- If it comes close to meeting their targets, emissions will soar, just as China's have done.
- In 2015, Chinese emissions per head are 4 times those in India.
- Modi promised to increase renewable energy more thanfivefold by 2022
- In 2015, Chinese emissions per head are 4 times those in India.
- With economic growth of 8-9%, India's total emissions of Co2 would more than triple by 2030, from 1.7bn tonnes in 201o to 5.3bn tonnes.
- In the Nover=mber 2015 Paris talks, India promised that its carbon intensity (carbon emissions per unit of GDP) would fall by a third before 2030.
- The country has more poor than anywhere else: 230m living on $1.90 a day.
- Have of rural households have no electricity. For the poor growth is essentialnd cacomes with it.
- If it comes close to meeting their targets, emissions will soar, just as China's have done.
- He had set India at target of expanding GDP by 8% a year.
- India's prime minister, Narendra Modi, wants to emulate China's sizzling growth
- At 1.6 tonnes of carbon per person per year, they're roughly the same as China's per-head emissions in 1980.
- But, India has huge potential to project ints trogetory
- Given India's size and pop. (1.3bn) its Co2 emisssions are relatively tiny.
- China
- As the primary emerging superpower, China has much to gain
- 70% of China's energy comes from finite coal.
- China became a 'factory to the world'.
- A1/3 of China's farmland is contaminated by agricultural products./ suppliants
- 40% of world trade goes through the South China sea, so they can control trade as in the Philippines.
- A1/3 of China's farmland is contaminated by agricultural products./ suppliants
- China became a 'factory to the world'.
- 70% of China's energy comes from finite coal.
- As the primary emerging superpower, China has much to gain
- India
- Energy
- Pressure on resources can be seen through car ownership.
- In 2003, 13.6 out of every 1,000 urban households in China had a car. In 2003, the car ownership rate in the USA was 750 per 1,000
- Pressure on resources can be seen through car ownership.
- Environment
- Chinese and Indian ecological footprints might be similar to those of the USA and EU by 2040.
- Huge pressure on water, energy and land resources
- In reality, this sort of future is unachievable, but might be possible with a dramatic shift to renewables/ better techno.
- Huge pressure on water, energy and land resources
- Chinese and Indian ecological footprints might be similar to those of the USA and EU by 2040.
- By 2050, the BRIC's will be consuming huge amounts of raw materials
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