Mount Pinatubo

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  • Predicting the 1991 eruption of Pinatubo - Luzon Philippines
    • History
      • Last Erupted C14th - no written record
      • Last one - 600 years ago
      • study of deposits and flows of pyroclastic material showed it had only erupted 4/5 times in 2 millennia
      • infrequent events
    • First Signs
      • July 1990  - EQ of 7.7 and killed 1600 people
        • After EQ, pacific plate melted forming extra magma - rose from the asthenosphere into large magma chamber
          • resulted in Mount Pinatubo
      • after the EQ
        • 2nd April 1991 - changes in Pinatubo (after being dormant for 600 years)
          • Steam came out of the side vents on flanks (side)
        • Officials were brought in
          • Contracted USGS
            • to protect 2 military facilities
              • Naval base - Subic Bay and Clark Air force base
          • Aerial Survey
            • Portable Seismometer installed - 400 EQ in 2 days
          • From Philippine Insitute of Volcanology and Semisology
    • Next 7 Weeks
      • Dismissed steam released
      • Seismic monitoring
        • USGS - network of seismometers
          • EQ - 8km below 40-150 per day
            • Not usually high number - but spread over 5-6km
        • 3d view of what happening below the surface
      • Set up HQ at Clark air base
      • Gas emissions
        • Helicopters- gas samples using correlation spectomemeter
          • Recorded SO2 levels - 500 tonnes per day - 5 weeks = 5,000 per day
      • Visual Observations
        • plane and helicopter
        • recorded the steam emissions and surface changes
    • 3 June - largest tremors
      • 20,000 people evacuated in 10 km
      • Issues a level 2 alert
      • 15,000 personnel at Clark air base = prepare to leave at short notice
    • 5 June
      • EQ beneath central zone
      • Sulphur Dioxide levels falling
        • suggested magma retaining as gas content = explosive
    • 7th June
      • increasing activity
      • 120,000 people within 18km evacuated to temp centres
      • Level 4 Alert
      • Air force remained but on alert
      • meanwhile - Japan volcano erupted - more violent that predicted
        • 6,000 people evacuated and saved - 34 died
    • 8-9 June
      • 48 hours later - first major eruption
      • 60km danger zone - 300,000 people evacuated
      • level 5 alert
        • air base evacuated (4,000 moved to safe distance)
      • Dome of lava from air
        • matched previous deposits
          • confirmed explosive nature

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