invisible primaries

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  • Created by: hermione
  • Created on: 08-02-17 14:08
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  • INVISIBLE PRIMARIES - the year or so before the start of the primaries when potential candidates try to gain recognition and money as well as put together the necessary organisation
    • begins almost immediately after the last election
      • lasts until the  holding of the first primary and caucus of election year
    • only called invisible because there are few scheduled events held during this period
    • candidates will be...
      • trying to get mentioned in the serious press - Washington Post and New York Times
      • get coverage on tv programmes - NewsHour and PBS
        • name recognition
        • present themselves to the voters as credible presidential candidates
        • cover potential weaknesses in political CV
      • set up exploratory committees
      • visit key primary and caucus states - New Hampshire and Iowa
      • and then they will begin to...
        • start fundraising
          • v. imp for candidates to court pressure groups and PACs as its v. expensive
            • Buddy Roemer backed out of 2012 election in Feb having only raises $340k
        • put together a prospective campaign staff -endorsement
          • will look for support from key individuals within the party
            • Nancy Pelosi endorsed Hilary 2016
            • also from other influential groups outside the party
        • formally announce their candidacy for the presidency
          • Trump announced June 2015- 238 days
          • Clinton announced April 2015 - 303 days
          • JFK 1960 announced only 66 days before
          • Obama announced Feb 2007 - 332 days
      • the primary  season is short so no time to do all this and need to do it before
    • become more prominent recently with the rise of TV debates
      • in 2012 campaign - before primaries and caucuses - R candidates had already appeared in 15 TV debates
    • the most important stage of the election campaign?
      • since 1988- R's have nominated the person who was ahead of the opinion polls at the end of the invisible primaries 6/7 times
      • since 1988- D's have nominated the person who was ahead of the opinion polls at the end of the invisible primaries 4/7 times

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