How stable was Russia on the eve of the First World War?

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  • How stable was Russia on the eve of WW1?
    • INTRODUCTION
      • - State opinion in opening sentence (Tsarist regime somewhat stable in comparison...)
      • Tsar autocrat but failed in dealing with problems
      • State the factors that will be assessed in essay to reach a conclusion (economic, political, public, army)
    • Paragraph one - POLITICAL STABILITY
      • The limited powers of the Dumas
        • The Fundamental Laws of 1906 - "No law can come into force without Tsar's approval".
          • Made Nicholas' views on change quite clear
        • Complex voting system; to minimise numbers of representatives from discontented classes
        • State council
          • 1/2 members appointed by Tsar, 1/2 elected by Zemstva, gentry assemblies, clergy and academic institutions
            • DUMA FAR FROM COMPLIANT - peasant deputies radical and irrepressible
        • OCTOBER MANIFESTO
      • COUNTER
        • Kadet defiance despite limits to power
          • Vyborg manifesto (issued by Kadets and Trudoviks) asked people to resist the Tsar through non-payment of taxes
          • Provoked little response; most who signed arrested and barred from standing in elections
            • Showed open hostility to the Tsar and his Duma(s), although unsuccessful; conveyed growing discontent
              • WEIGH UP: stable to extent, showed the beginnings of mass discontent - but for the time being quite stable
                • DUMA FAR FROM COMPLIANT - peasant deputies radical and irrepressible
    • Paragraph two - PUBLIC/SOCIAL ORDER
      • Lack of effective opposition
        • Groups like Liberals, Socialist and Communists suppressed and many forced to live abroad
          • (e.g. 1895, Lenin arrested and later exiled to SIberia)
          • Bolsheviks also not major threat until 1917 (10-25,000 members before WW1)
        • Okhrana used to persecute opposition groups ruthlessly - deported to Siberia/forced into exile
      • COUNTER
        • Repression didn't stop unrest
          • Lena Goldfields 1912
            • Discontent of working conditions (16h days, accidents common, 700 ACCIDENTS FOR EVERY 1000)
              • Low pay (barely above bread line), food coupons
            • Strike broke out RANCID MEAT (Andreyversky) - 29/02/1912
            • Demands (30% wage increase, 8h working day, fine elimination)
              • DEMANDS IGNORED - 500 dead/woinded (250 dead)
    • Paragraph three - ARMY/LOYAL STABILITY
      • Remained loyal - BLOODY SUNDAY
        • Peaceful protest about reinstatement of workers in Putilov factory
        • 105,000 workers downed tools
          • Went to Winter Palace - Tsar NOT in
            • Report says women & children placed in front if column; still shot
              • c200 killed, c800 wounded
        • Met armed troops - tried to disperse them by peaceful persuasion - THEN SHOT
      • COUNTER
        • Moscow Uprising 1905
          • Battlefield between workers & police
          • More than 1,000 killed in suppression of uprising
          • - Prisons filled up - militant workers lost jobs - socialist parties forced underground
        • When Soviet leaders arrested 3/12/1905, Moscow SDs declared strike and distributed arms to workers
          • WEIGH UP: M.U shows although army loyal in crushing opposition, uprisings becoming more frequent thus harder to suppress all - STABILITY WEAKENED
            • c200 killed, c800 wounded
    • Paragraph four - ECONOMIC STABILITY
      • Economy had grown well by 1914
        • Stolypin's reforms - redemption dues abolished, Peasant Land Banks (money borrow for buy land)
          • Ownership went from 20%, 1905 to 50%, 1914
          • Agricultural output rose 1/3 (46m tonnes in 1906, 62m in 1913)
            • 1914: Russia growth rate HIGHEST IN WORLD
          • Was hoped reforms would reduce demand for  labour in the countryside - increasing urbanisation
          • Peasants content
      • COUNTER
        • Still economic weaknesses
          • Russia only now catching up with other industrial powers - still FAR behind
          • Russia had out-of-date farming economy (most peasants lived in country and controlled by nobles)
          • Poor working conditions and worker poverty
            • Created a large workforce, disaffected and concentrated in Petrograd
            • STOLYPIN ASSASSINATED 1911 - many reforms not implemented 'Only thing that could've saved Tsarist regime'
  • WEIGH UP: although lack of effective opp. sporadic outbursts like this showed start of continuous discontent exacerbated by ww1
    • Stable to extent - ALTHOUGH outbursts, able to suppress
    • DEMANDS IGNORED - 500 dead/woinded (250 dead)
    • (e.g. 1895, Lenin arrested and later exiled to SIberia)
  • WEIGH UP: Although Russia economy booming, other countries already achieved this - more of an embarrassment
    • Helped in stablising Russia on WW1 eve - what if had not happened? Effect on Russia in war...
      • 1914: Russia growth rate HIGHEST IN WORLD
    • Created a large workforce, disaffected and concentrated in Petrograd

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