Elections and Voting 3C - Congressional Elections facts

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  • Elections and Voting 3C Congressional Elections
    • Locality Rule
      • Idaho
      • Tennessee
      • Washington
      • New York
      • Virginia
      • Arizona
    • Incumbents defeated in primaries?
      • 93%       re-election rate average for HoR
      • 80% re-election rate average in the Senate
        • 96% in 2004
        • 79% 2006
      • Changed in 2010
        • rise of the Tea Party
          • Christine O'Donnell defeated Tim Pawlenty in Delaware
      • safe seats
        • democrats
          • New York 15th District (includes Queens)
            • José E. Serrano   2013 to present
        • Republicans
          • Allabama 6th District (includes Birmingham)
            • Spencer Bachus 1993-present
    • Coat-Tails effect
      • Obama brought in 21 House seats and 8 Senate seats
    • Split-Ticket voting
      • 2008 - Obama won the presidential race in 34 districts where Republicans won the House seats
      • 2008 49 states had Democratic House seats but voted McCain for President
    • Decline in competitive elections
      • seat that is won by the incumbent with less than 10 points
      • just under 93% HoR had safe seats in 2004
    • Mid-Terms (Presidential party looses seats).
      • 2010 Democrats lost 63 House seats and 6 senate seats
      • 2002 Bush gained seats 5 House setas and 2 Senate seats
        • result of his 'war on terror' after 9/11
  • Locality Rule
    • Idaho
    • Tennessee
    • Washington
    • New York
    • Virginia
    • Arizona

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