Difficulties in monitoring and predicting climate change

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  • Difficulties in monitoring and predicting climate change
    • Time Scales
      • Short term
        • E.g. sudden storm.
        • E.g. wetter weather
      • Long term
        • E.g. tend of winters of increasing rainfall.
    • Spatial scales
      • Local
        • E.g. sudden slow moving storm causing local flooding
      • Regional
        • E.g. an area with increased rainfall due to increased evaporation or changed wind direction.
      • Global
        • E.g. increased global temperatures
    • Inter-connected systems
      • We do not fully understand the natural processes that control the atmosphere, hydrosphere and biosphere or the interconnections that exist between them.
        • Interactions between these systems operating over different scales make it much ore difficult to accurately predict how their effects may combine.
    • Natural flutuations
      • The global climate has never been constant.
      • Milankovic cycles
        • the changes may hide or exaggerate the anthropogenic changes.
          • The global climate has never been constant.
    • Lag time

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