Climate Change

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  • Climate change
    • Evidence
      • An increase in average surface air temperature by 1 degree over the last 100 years
      • The warmest ocean temperatures since 1850
      • A 19cm rise in sea levels since 1900
      • Oxygen, carbon dioxide and methane in ice cores and ocean sediments
      • Amount of tree rings - how old.
        • Thickness of tree rings - How wet and humid the climate was. The thicker the ring, the wetter the climate
    • Causes
      • Volcanic activity
        • Volcanic activity can reduce global temperatures because of the dust and ash that goes into the atmosphere and sulphur dioxide that creates aerosols.
        • These volcanic materials reflect incoming radiation back out to space cooling the Earth.
        • The Mount Pinatubo eruption of 1991 resulted in cooling of 0.4?C.
      • Deforestation
        • Forests absorb and store carbon in their trees and soil.
        • But if forests are cleared or disturbed, this carbon is released as carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
        • Up to a fifth of global greenhouse gas emissions come from deforestation and forest degradation.
      • Agriculture
        • Producing food globally uses a lot of fossil fuels in the production of fertiliser and pesticides, and in the transportation of food.
        • Changing forest cover and marshes to farmland also releases greenhouses gases and removes a greenhouse gas store.
        • Keeping animals in large quantities for meat production or dairy products produces a lot of Methane (CH4), a potent greenhouse gas. ntitled
          • Cows produce 320g per day which is 37% of the total methane production.
        • Rice paddies are also known to produce lots of greenhouse gases
      • Fossil fuels
        • We use fossil fuels (including coal, oil and gas) in power stations across the world to generate energy.
        • Coal is the remains of ancient plants and trees that grew over 200 millions of years ago. Oil and gas is made up of the remains of microscopic plankton.
          • Over millions of years these remains become the carbon-rich coal, oil and gas we can use as fuel.
        • When fossil fuels are burned they release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere which contributes to global warming.
        • Using fossil fuels to generate energy also releases pollutants into the atmosphere - such as sulphur dioxide.
      • Orbital changes
        • 95,000 year stretch
          • The Earth’s orbit slowly changes from elliptical to circular and back again over a 95,000 year period.
          • Circular orbits favour glacials, elliptical orbits favour interglacials as the Earth passes closer to the sun allowing for more melting
        • 42,000 year tilt
          • The tilt of the earth varies slowly over 42,000 year cycles.
          • The Earth is currently tilted at an angle of 23.5° to the sun but it can reduce to 21° causes glacials as there is less summer melting at the poles and increase to 24.5° causes interglacials as there is MORE summer melting.
        • 21,000 year wobble
          • The Earth wobbles on its axis every 21,000 years meaning that the seasons change for the 2 hemispheres.
          • At present our orbit puts N-Hemisphere closest to the sun in winter and furthest in summer – ideal for glaciers to develop
          • It was the reverse 12,000 years ago and caused the current interglacial
      • Solar output
        • There can be fluctuations in the amount of radiation from the Sun
        • If there is a high amount emitted, there will be an increase in Earth’s temperatures
        • The Sun’s output energy changes in short cycles (11 years) or longer  cycles (several 100 years)
        • Periods when solar output is reduced may cause the Earth’s climate to become cooler in some areas
        • Most scientists think that changes in solar output don’t have a major effect on global climate change
      • Cement production
        • Cement is the basic ingredient of concrete, the most widely used construction material in the world.
        • Around 8% of global CO2 emissions come from cement production
        • Typically, over half of cement CO2 emissions come from making clinker,.
        • Since this CO2, is released through a chemical reaction,it  cannot be eliminated by changing fuel or increasing energy efficiency
    • Effects
      • Social
        • Increased risk of diseases such as skin cancers and heat stroke as temperatures increase.
        • Winter-related deaths decrease with milder winters
        • Crop yields affected: maize will decrease by up to 12% in South America, yet will increase in northern Europe
        • Less ice in Artic Ocean increase sipping and extraction of gas and oil reserves
        • Drought reduces food and water supplies in sub-Saharan Africa.
          • Water scarcity in the south and southeast of the UK
        • Flood risk increase repair and insurance costs
          • 70% of Asia at increased risk of flooding, causing migration and overcrowding in low-risk areas
        • Declining fishing in the Lower Mekong  delta would affect 40 million, due to changing water quality because of reduced water flow and sea-level rise
        • Extreme weather increases investment in prediction and protection
        • Skiing industry may decline in Alps as less snow
      • Environmental
        • Increased drought in areas such as Mediterranean  region
        • Lower rainfall causes food shortages for oranguatans in Borneo and Indonesia
        • Sea-level rise increases flooding and coastal erosion, so défense are under increasing stain
        • Ice melts, so wildlife declines, such as Adele penguins on the Antarctic Penisula and polar bears and seals in the Artic
        • Warmer rivers affect marine wildlife; for example, the food supply will decrease for the Ganges river dolphin
        • Increase in forest growth in Northern Europe
        • Forests in North America may experience more pests, disease and forest fires
        • Coral bleaching  and decline in biodiversity such as at the Great Barrier Reef
    • Managing
      • Alternative energy production
        • Examples - wind, solar, geothermal, wave, tidal and biomass
        • Reduces greenhouse gases compared to burning fossil fuels (coal, oil and gas)
        • They will last longer
        • They are becoming cheaper and more competitive
          • They are expensive and cannot be relied upon to generate electricity
            • For example, if there is no wind, sun or waves
      • Carbon capture
        • Carbon capture takes CO2 from emission sources and safely stores it underground
        • An impermeable ‘cap rock’ prevents it escaping
        • It capture up to 90% of CO2 and provide 10-50% of the world’s total carbon mitigation until 2100
        • It is expensive
        • It is unclear if CO2 would remain capture long term
        • It doesn’t promote renewable energy
      • Planting trees
        • Helps to remove CO2 from the atmosphere through photosynthesis
        • It could increase forest carbon storage by 28%
        • Oxygen is produced during photosynthesis, and trees provide habitats
        • Land may be limited
          • Biodiversity is reduced if only one tree species is planted
      • International agreements
        • Encourage countries to take responsibility  for reducing CO2 emissions
        • Targets are more likely to be met if legally binding (Paris 2015 agreement)
        • Financial support may be provided for LICs
        • Some countries are considered to be more responsible
          • It is hard to agree targets that go far enough
            • They may not be achieved
      • Changes in agricultural systems
        • Required to deal with changing rainfall and temperature patterns, weather becoming more extreme and the changing distribution of pests and diseases
        • Production may need to move location to suit climates
          • Irrigation may be necessary and changes to crops and varieties may be required
        • Adaptations are most difficult for poorer farmers, who are most likely to be affected
      • Managing water supplies
        • Ensures populations can face the challenge of changing rainfall patters
        • In London, this involves reducing demand (such as installing water-efficient devices) and increase supply (such as opening a desalination plant)
        • Water supplies being under strain, security may be threatened in area areas of deficit
          • Especially where there is less political stability
      • Reducing risk from rising sea levels
        • Could involve constructing defends (such as the Thames Barrier or restoring mangrove forests)
          • Raising properties on stilts or relocating people at risk
        • There a social, economic and environmentalimplications of these strategies
    • Greenhouse effect
      • 1. The sun send its energy to Earth as insolation
      • 2. Some of  this energy is reflected directly back out to space from dust and clouds
      • 3. The light energy is converted to heart energy in the atmosphere and at the Earth’s surface
      • 4. This rises through the Earth’s atmosphere
      • 5. The heat energy is trapped by CO2, methane and water vapour
      • 6. Some heat energy escapes to space
      • 7. Extra human activity adds extra gases causing extra anthropogenic warming - enhanced greenhouse effect

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