causes of chnages in the economic cycle

Macro Economic Growth

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  • fluctuations in AD
    • Keynes argued that recessions are caused by fluctuations in AD caused by business and consumer confidence
    • causes of changes in the phases of the economic cycle
      • political interference
        • a governing party may attempt to engineer a boom to win an election
      • speculative bubbles
        • when asset prices such as houses/shares rise and then start to fall as people sell them and the resultant impact on confidence
      • supply side factors
        • changes on the supply side such as changes in technology can cause an economic cycle
      • outside shocks hitting the economy
        • these can be 'demand or supply side' and in some cases both. eg possible war or Brexit.
      • changes in inventories
        • when businesses run down their stocks if they overestimated demand.
      • multiplier/acceleration interaction

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